Rubinstein, R. (2009) Conflict Resolution in an Age of Empire: New Challenges to an Emerging Field. The description of the graph model includes the basic modeling and analysis components of the methodology and the decision support system GMCR II that has been used to apply it, including both basic (stability) analysis and follow-up analysis. The volume has three distinctive features. MATH You should complete one triangle for each of the major groups involved in the conflict. In areas where free articulation of opinion might entail personal security risks for staff, first hand information cannot be . Resulting in the deaths of hundreds of thousands of people around the world and costing trillions of dollars, conflict has had a grim impact on the 21st century. IEEE Trans Syst Man Cybern Part C 33(1):4255, Fang L, Hipel KW, Kilgour DM, Peng J (2003b) A decision support system for interactive decision making, part 2: analysis and output interpretation. Wang, L., Pei, Z. Conflict analysis, learning from practice - Rhodes - Conflict Google Scholar, Qu KS, Liang JY, Wang JH, Shi ZZ (2004) The algebraic properties of concept lattice. In: FUZZ-IEEE 2005, The IEEE international conference on fuzzy systems, May, 2225, Reno, Nevada, USA, pp 663668, Belohlavek R, Vychodil V (2005) What is a fuzzy concept lattice?. The conflict analysis method: bridging the gap between ELECTRE Heather Ashby, Ph.D.; Mary Glantz, Ph.D. Before Vladimir Putin launched his illegal war on Ukraine, the Russian-funded paramilitary Wagner Group was an infamous, shadowy tool of Moscows foreign policy, advancing its objectives in the Middle East and Africa. Automatica 23(1):4155, Kilgour DM, Hipel KW, Fang L (2001) Coalition analysis in group decision support. Kriesberg, L. (1989) Transforming Conflicts in the Middle East and Central Europe. MATH Conflict Analysis Methods - LinkedIn 61976130) and Talent introduction project of Xihua University (Z211059). Conflict analysis is the systematic study of the profile, causes, actors, and dynamics of conflict (seeSection 2). Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout, Brams SJ (1994) Theory of moves. A Study of Bloody Conflict. The broad focus of conflict analysis is also reflected in the multitude of methodological approaches which are utilised (see, e.g., Druckman, 2005). Thousand Oaks: Sage Publications. Kinnvall, C. (2004) Globalization and religious nationalism: Self, identity, and the search for ontological security. Conflict Analysis is a set of techniques to model and analyze a strategic conflict, or policy problem, using models of the purposive behavior of actors. do the elites excluded from the political settlement mobilise support from marginalised groups? How to Adapt Conflict Analysis Tools for Peacebuilding - LinkedIn Int J Intell Syst 17:235253, Article Or they can be framed around story narratives for example in an analysis about prospective elections in Sierra Leone, three scenarios were presented: Scenario 1: election violence; Scenario 2: regional stalemate; Scenario 3: youth, drugs and violence (Adolfo, 2010: 49). Fisher, S., Ibrahim Abdi, D., Ludin, J., Smith, R., Williams, S., Williams, S. (2000). Kaldor, M. (2001) New and Old Wars. (e.g. Conflict events can be disaggregated, e.g. The onion graphic tool is used to examine actors public positions (the outer layer), interests (the middle layer) and needs (inner layer) (Fisher et al., 2000: 27) (see Figure 3). Zheng Pei. Vaux, T. (2015). Conflict Analysis Methods 8 tools can be employed to analytically assess the various attributes of a conflict, whilst taking into consideration what is affected by the perspectives of the analyst . ): Multi-Causal Role Model: This model focuses on causation, on the different quality of reasons, triggers, channels, catalysts, and targets. There is a long and rich history of studies about the nature, origins and experiences of conflict. It focuses on the conflict profile (its history), the actors involved and their perspectives, the causes of conflict, and the dynamics of how these elements interact. Practical applications of strategic conflict analysis. Google Scholar In, Bishop, P., Hines, A. Inf Sci 507:809822, Sun BZ, Ma WM (2014) Soft fuzzy rough sets and its application in decision making. They can help you design and implement. Inf Sci 406:185207, Lang GM, Miao DQ, Fujita H (2020) Three-way group conflict analysis based on pythagorean fuzzy set theory. This book focuses on deadly conflict, or large-scale organized violence carried out by governments or non-state actors. IEEE Trans Syst Man Cybern Part A 34(4):507520, Li KW, Hipel KW, Kilgour DM, Noakes DJ (2005) Integrating uncertain preferences into status quo analysis with application to an environmental conflict. These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. In: Ganter B, Godin R (eds) ICFCA 2005, LNAI, vol 3403. The Glasl model conceptualises escalation as a downward movement, where conflict parties get sucked into the conflict dynamics (Mason & Rychard, 2005). In: Sandole, D., Byrne, S., Sandole-Staroste, I. and Senehi, J. eds. Wiley, New York NY, Fraser NM, Hipel KW (1979) Solving complex conflicts. Unable to display preview. Political alignments among states are increasingly amorphous, and non-state actors such as militant movements and international criminal networks increasingly fuel conflict. Z. eds. Manchester: Manchester University Press. Baltimore: John Hopkins University Press. In: Sandole, D., Byrne, S., Sandole-Staroste, I. and Senehi, J. eds. (2017). Vyrynen, T. (1995) Going beyond similarity: The role of the facilitator in problemsolving workshop conflict resolution. (1987) Conflict Resolution: Track Two Diplomacy. International Symposium on Food Safety and Control The army, without explanation, does nothing. Princeton: Princeton University Press. The ABC triangle graphic tool is used to examine actors attitudes, behaviours and context (depicted graphically in a triangle) and compare the different perspectives (Mitchell, in Fisher et al., 2000: 25-7). Author: Erik Melander, Inger Buxton, Mats Bengtsson, Patrick Kratt, The Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency, Evaluation of Swedish development cooperation, Preventing sexual exploitation, abuse and harassment, Swedish Investors for Sustainable Development, Online resources for researchers and science reporters, Report suspicions of corruption, irregularities and other wrongdoings. (2001) Justice and the Burdens of History, Reconciliation, Justice and Co-existence. (eds.) Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA, Raiffa H, Richardson J, Metcalfe D (2002) Negotiation analysis: the science and art of collaborative decision making. Rough Sets Knowl Technol, pp 732741, Qi J, Qian T, Wei L (2016) The connections between three-way and classical concept lattices. Because negative emotions cause us discomfort and distress, we may try to tamp them down, hoping that our feelings will dissipate with time. In: Sandole, D. J. & Qin, K. A novel conflict analysis model based on the formal concept analysis. In: 2010 Seventh international conference on fuzzy systems and knowledge discovery, Leung Y, Li DY (2003) Maximal consistent block technique for rule acquisition in incomplete information systems. IEEE Trans Syst Man Cybern Part A: Hum Syst 39(5):9931006, Raiffa H (1982) The Art and science of negotiation. Hammack, P. L. and Pelicki, A. This method is designed to help a group of people effectively evaluate where a project is at and find ways to shift gear or change track if necessary. with conflict events or territorial control of different actors. Each chapter includes key questions to guide the process and focus conversation. Jabri, V. (1996) Discourses on Violence. Rousoux, V. (2009) Reconciliation as a Peace-Building Process: Scope and Limits. This creates a more general framework for the analysis of discrete multicriteria problems. Finally, the dynamic conflict analysis model of EW effectiveness is constructed and used to analyze the state transition process in the dynamic conflict process of an EW system, which is of great value to improve the theoretical system of EW effectiveness evaluation. For instance, it may concern when and how specific conflict-resolution strategies are considered most efficient to be applied during a conflict cycle. It seeks to identify opportunities for managing or resolving disputes without recourse to violent action. Formal concept analysis is an effective data analysis method which can be used for modeling conflict situations in the presence of uncertainty. Conflict Analysis is a set of techniques to model and analyze a strategic conflict, or policy problem, using models of the purposive behavior of actors. It is thus important to adopt a chronological, contextual and dynamic approach when engaging in analysis to be able to understand how the conflict has developed over time. What Does the Wagner Mutiny Mean for Putin and His War on Ukraine? Practical exercises for conflict analysis, Outputs supported by DFID are DFID Crown Copyright 2023; outputs supported by the Australian Government are J Comput Appl 29(2):539541, Yi HJ, Zhang HM, Li XN, Yang YP (2021) Three-way conflict analysis based on hesitant fuzzy information systems. Cambridge: Polity Press. Springer, Heidelberg, pp 169186, MATH The tools and case studies in this volume will be useful for practitioners whose work may be adversely affected by conflict or political instability. (2009) Interactive Conflict Resolution: Dialogue, Conflict Analysis, and Problemsolving. Appl Math Comput 212(2):470480, Xu H, Li KW, Kilgour DM, Hipel KW (2009b) A matrix-based approach to searching colored paths in a weighted colored multidigraph. The synthetic datasets used to evaluate the methods and the processed EPIC bead data are deposited online for reproducibility (see Data Availability statement). Palgrave Macmillan, London. Group Decis Negotiation 13(5):449462, Hipel KW (2002) Conflict resolution. Download preview PDF. Int J Approx Reason 139:1227, Yu C, Yang JH, Yang DB, Ma XH, Min HC (2015) An improved conflicting evidence combination approach based on a new supporting probability distance. Thompson, L., Nadler, J. and Lount, R. (2006) Judgmental Biases in Conflict Resolution and How to Overcome Them. Conflict analysis should be a habitual activity for all practitioners working in regions at risk of violence or instability. fConflict analysis cannot be conducted at any moment. (2004); Conflict Sensitivity Consortium (2012); CDA Collaborative (2013); DFID (2015); Mason & Rychard (2005). Conflict is an enduring feature of human existence. If you are working in conflict, you . Profile: What is the context that shapes conflict? The question of who to include and how depends on how the actors interact (e.g. Charlottesville: Pitchstone Publishing. Murithi, T. (2009) The Ethics of Peacebuilding. Land | Free Full-Text | Conflict Analysis of Physical Industrial Land Inf Sci 315:3953, Sun BZ, Ma WM, Zhao H (2016) Rough set-based conflict analysis model and method over two universes. This is a preview of subscription content, access via It is now understood that many conflicts, particularly within states, emerge in response to a sense of interests. The Handbook on Conflict Resolution: Theory and Practice (2nd edition). Expert Syst Appl 42(12):51395149, Zhang WX, Wei L, Qi JJ (2005) Attribute reduction of concept lattice theory and method. Journal of Peace Research, 39: 263287. Review of International Studies, 38(4): 809833. IEEE Trans on Syst Man Cybern - Part A: Syst Hum 39(1):96108, Xu H, Hipel KW, Kilgour DM (2009b) Multiple levels of preference in interactive strategic decisions. Public Administration, 82(1): 191210. Inf Sci 516:316330, Zhai YH, Qi JJ, Li DY, Zhang C, Xu Wh (2022) The structure theorem of three-way concept lattice. Projects This is similar to the idea of dividers, which are negative factors that increase tensions between people or groups, reduce their ability to resolve conflicts non-violently and may lead to violent conflict. Scholarly and academic peer-reviewed conflict analysis methods can be found in practical use by policy and decision-makers at various levels in various contexts (Herbert, 2017). A Criminal Cancer Spreads in Southeast Asia, Chinese Cybercrime Syndicates in Myanmar Now Target Victims Worldwide - Voice of America, Pakistan: Between Democracy, Dictators, and Devastation | Sushant Sareen | Imran Khan - Observer Research Foundation, Poll finds sharp uptick in support for arming Ukraine - The Hill. Definitions and concepts - GSDRC Fuzzy Sets Syst 97(1):109114, Belohlavek R, Sklenar V, Zacpal J (2005) Crisply generated fuzzy concepts. Conflict analysis - GSDRC Google Scholar An understanding of these processes of mobilisation is critical to understanding violent conflict. Figure 2: Actor mapping: example of a basic conflict map. Analysis of the sources/causes of conflict is often a contested issue. Analysis of dynamics ensures conflict analysis does not just produce detailed lists but rather an understanding of the dynamics and the interaction of the different elements. Figure 4: Conflict tree to visualise conflict causes in Kenya. Consequently, this study focuses on the development and application of multi . (2009) Building Relational Empathy through an Interactive Design Process. USIP has a variety of newsletters and announcements with the latest analysis, publications and events. Here you can dive deep into our work in a specific country or a thematic area. Phylogenetic congruence, conflict and consilience between molecular and Lanham: Lexington Books. [1] People and groups do not randomly fight each other, even if stark inequalities or other grievances prevail in a society, they need to be mobilised. Inf Sci 578:257280, Article International Political Science Review, 17(2): 141160. fData collection is constrained. IEEE Trans Fuzzy Syst 9(4):608623, Li KW, Kilgour DM, Hipel KW (2004) Status quo analysis of the flathead river conflict. Indicators+: A proposal for everyday peace indicators, Encouraging effective evaluation of conflict prevention and peacebuilding activities: Towards DAC guidance, Violence and economic agendas in civil wars: Some policy implications, The current state of scenario development: An overview of techniques, Principles and lessons for conflict analysis, What political, economic, social and environmental, Who are the main actors? Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout. Topic Guide, May 2017 Conflict analysis tools Numerous toolkits and manuals provide models of how to conduct conflict analysis. Integration and Application. Hence, the analysis should focus on promoting creative positive drives, whether relevant to the next, or from within it. Anyone you share the following link with will be able to read this content: Sorry, a shareable link is not currently available for this article. The ABC triangle is a simple framework for exploring the impact and causes of conflict. The Handbook on Conflict Resolution: Theory and Practice (2nd edition). New Front Artif Intell :349353, Deja R (2002) Conflict analysis. 2010 Springer Science+Business Media B.V. Kilgour, D.M., Hipel, K.W. CrossRef Lupovici, A. , The policy continuum-policy authoring and conflict analysis, Computer Communications 31 (13) (2008) 2981 - 2995. Stability: International Journal of Security and Development, 2(1): 116. Conflict Analysis and Resolution as a Field: Core Concepts and Issues The box at the end of this page presents practical exercises for analysing the conflict profile and dynamics. They can enable practitioners to better anticipate threats and opportunities and to respond to unforeseen events with greater agility and insight. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, Bryant JW (2003) The Six Dilemmas of collaboration. Conflict analysis concerns the systematic study of the causes, actors, processes and resolution of conflicts around the globe. Google Scholar [34] Sun B., Ma W., Zhao H., Rough set-based conflict analysis model and method over two universes, Inf. A conflict could be peaceful or violent with many dimensions, and levels that start from continuous peace, fixated peace, non-fixated peace, crises, and lastly, war. [33] Ramanna S., Conflict Analysis in the Framework of Rough Sets and Granular Computing, Handbook of Granular Computing, 2008, pp. In: Deutsch, M., Coleman, P. and Marcus, E. eds. Syst Eng 11(4):343359, Inohara T, Hipel KW, Walker S (2007) Conflict analysis approaches for investigating attitudes and misperceptions in the war of 1812. Handbook of Conflict Analysis and Resolution. Google Scholar, Pardalos P M, Xue J (1994) The maximum clique problem. The global security environment is likely to become even more complicated over the next generation, and conflict analysis is an essential skill for practitioners whose work is affected by these complex challenges. In doing so, it has also brought NATO and Japan closer together in their views of Russia and led to broader NATO-Japan engagement. The various analytical tools discussed in this guide can help illuminate emerging trends in complex, volatile, and ambiguous environments. whether the objective is stability or sustainable peace). Frontiers | Deterioration mechanism of mechanical properties of J Glob Optim 4:301328, Pawlak Z (1998) An inquiry into anatomy of conflicts. Vertzberger, Y. I. Welch, D. (1995) Justice and the Genesis of War. European Journal of Social Psychology, 34: 125. This is similar to the idea of connectors, which are positive factors that reduce tensions between people or groups, improve cohesion and promote constructive collaboration (OECD DAC, 2007). How do we define the term conflict in the context of international relations? Second, it highlights the need to analyze the causes of peace in addition to the causes of war. Three-way decision making approach to conflict analysis and resolution Conflict analysis or conflict assessment, a concept within peace and conflict studies, is an initial stage of conflict resolution in which parties seek to gain a deeper understanding of the dynamics in their relationship. As the development agenda broadens to include radicalisation, policymakers are increasingly linking the latter with the drivers of conflict in specific contexts.A GSDRC Topic Guide on Countering Violent Extremism (Schomerus et al., 2017) highlights that, while research is extremely limited, recent debates on VE focus on push and pull factors (e.g. Hoffman, M. (1995) Defining and evaluating success: Facilitative problem-solving workshops in an interconnected context. Staub, E. (2010) Other Elements of Reconciliation: Collective Memory, Shared History and Justice. From Conflict Resolution to Reconciliation. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Sci. For this reason, the bulk of the guide focuses on qualitative analytical tools such as conflict assessment frameworks, narrative analysis, systems mapping, scenario-based planning, and situation analysis. Finally, we provide an illustrative example to verify the validity of the proposed algorithm. Comput Sci 34(11):129131, Sun BZ, Chen XT, Zhang LY, Ma WM (2020) Three-way decision making approach to conflict analysis and resolution using probabilistic rough set over two universes. Springer Verlag, Heidelberg, Book Sida is Swedens government agency for development cooperation. elections, economic crisis, a natural disaster, etc.). 1038 - 1053. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves. It also discusses quantitative tools for conflict risk assessment and early warning, such as the Failed States Index and the Peace and Conflict Instability Ledger. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Handbook of Conflict Analysis and Resolution. However, feminist and womens peace organizations have long recognized that for engagement on this issue to be meaningful, it cannot treat gender as a synonym for women. DFID, 2015). In: Proceedings of the ICCS 1867, pp 385398, Burusco A, Fuentes-Gonzales R (1998) Construction of the L-fuzzy concept lattice. Publications Palgrave Studies in Political Psychology Series. the military, leaders and commanders of non-state armed groups, criminal groups), Which factors of the conflict profile, actors and causes.